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Verified Track Record

Every call, on the record.

Every prediction is logged before the game starts. No editing. No deleting. No cherry-picking. This is the public ledger — every row timestamped, outcomes shown as they get graded.

Total Picks

291

Logged & timestamped

Win Rate

61%

51W / 32L / 53P

Graded

136

Results decided

Pending

155

Awaiting outcome

Closing line value

Did the market move toward our pick between the moment we logged it and kickoff? Beating the closing line is the standard test of a sharp bettor — it shows up long before win rate does. No-vig moneyline probability, pick time vs. last line before start. Soccer excluded (no draw price).

34.9%

beat the close

-0.03

avg CLV (pts)

43

picks measured

61%

Win Rate

51 wins out of 136 graded picks

Above the break-even threshold. The edge is real — not guaranteed, but statistically meaningful over a large sample.

Average confidence on recent picks: 67%

By Sport

Win rate across different categories

Football

63%

34W / 20L · 54 picks

Baseball

7%

3W / 42L · 45 picks

Soccer

32%

8W / 17L · 25 picks

Basketball

57%

4W / 3L · 7 picks

Hockey

40%

2W / 3L · 5 picks

Recent Picks

Last 20 logged predictions — pending until the result is graded

PredictionResult

Arthur Fery @ Lorenzo Musetti

Lorenzo Musetti (Strong edge) — Lorenzo Musetti has a strong edge. Vegas line implies ~68% for Lorenzo Musetti

Pending

Kyrian Jacquet @ Holger Rune

Holger Rune (Strong edge) — Holger Rune has a strong edge. Vegas line implies ~64% for Holger Rune

Pending

Rei Sakamoto @ Matteo Arnaldi

Rei Sakamoto (Lean) — Rei Sakamoto has a small edge. Vegas line implies ~53% for Rei Sakamoto

Pending

Casper Ruud @ Luciano Darderi

Casper Ruud (Strong edge) — Casper Ruud has a strong edge. Vegas line implies ~71% for Casper Ruud

Pending

Alexander Blockx @ Valentin Vacherot

Alexander Blockx (Lean) — Alexander Blockx has a small edge. Vegas line implies ~55% for Alexander Blockx

Pending

Zizou Bergs @ Jiri Lehecka

Jiri Lehecka (Strong edge) — Jiri Lehecka has a strong edge. Vegas line implies ~71% for Jiri Lehecka

Pending

Frances Tiafoe @ Kei Nishikori

Frances Tiafoe (Strong edge) — Frances Tiafoe has a strong edge. Vegas line implies ~78% for Frances Tiafoe

Pending

Sho Shimabukuro @ Denis Shapovalov

Denis Shapovalov (Strong edge) — Denis Shapovalov has a strong edge. Vegas line implies ~79% for Denis Shapovalov

Pending

Tommy Paul @ Alejandro Tabilo

Tommy Paul (Strong edge) — Tommy Paul has a strong edge. Vegas line implies ~73% for Tommy Paul

Pending

Alex Michelsen @ Carlos Alcaraz

Carlos Alcaraz (Strong edge) — Carlos Alcaraz has a strong edge. Vegas line implies ~83% for Carlos Alcaraz

Pending

Matteo Berrettini @ Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Playable) — Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has a real edge. Vegas line implies ~57% for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Pending

Ugo Humbert @ Brandon Nakashima

Brandon Nakashima (Strong edge) — Brandon Nakashima has a strong edge. Vegas line implies ~69% for Brandon Nakashima

Pending

Daria Kasatkina @ Paula Badosa

Paula Badosa (Strong edge) — Paula Badosa has a strong edge. Vegas line implies ~68% for Paula Badosa

Pending

Kimberly Birrell @ Aoi Ito

Kimberly Birrell (Strong edge) — Kimberly Birrell has a strong edge. Vegas line implies ~79% for Kimberly Birrell

Pending

Ashlyn Krueger @ Sofia Kenin

Ashlyn Krueger (Playable) — Ashlyn Krueger has a real edge. Vegas line implies ~59% for Ashlyn Krueger

Pending

Alina Charaeva @ Yuliia Starodubtseva

Yuliia Starodubtseva (Strong edge) — Yuliia Starodubtseva has a strong edge. Vegas line implies ~61% for Yuliia Starodubtseva

Pending

Daria Kasatkina @ Paula Badosa

Paula Badosa (Strong edge) — Paula Badosa has a strong edge. Vegas line implies ~68% for Paula Badosa

Pending

Newcastle United @ Coventry City

Newcastle United (Playable) — Newcastle United has a real edge. Vegas line implies ~61% for Newcastle United • Road favorite tag despite home edge

Pending

Kimberly Birrell @ Aoi Ito

Kimberly Birrell (Strong edge) — Kimberly Birrell has a strong edge. Vegas line implies ~78% for Kimberly Birrell

Pending

Udinese @ Torino

Torino (Playable) — Torino has a real edge. Vegas line implies ~57% for Torino • Home edge in soccer

Pending

How We Grade

Logged Before

Every prediction is written to the database with a timestamp BEFORE the event starts. No retroactive editing.

Graded Automatically

Results are matched against final scores. Win, loss, or push — determined by the actual outcome, not our opinion.

Public Forever

Once logged, predictions cannot be deleted or modified. The record is append-only. This is the receipts page.